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Hong Kong Financial News

What you need to know in order to out-beat the Hong Kong Stock Market

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Posts tagged liquidity

Bank of East Asia is going down?

There is another bank going down after the fall of Lehman Brothers? It does seem plausible after all; otherwise there won’t be hundreds of people lining up in different branches of Bank of East Asia (BEA) (23) in Hong Kong to get their deposits back.

Management at BEA vehemently deny that that they are short of capital. Their total asset is around HK$ 400 Billion, and the amount of Lehman bonds that they own is only HK$ 400 million, that is only 0.1% of their total asset.

Negative news seems to surround BEA lately. Last week (18 September) it was reported that an employee inside the bank (another Jerome Kerviel!) had hidden a loss of HK$ 93 million in derivatives trade.

These days, in bear market, it is really easy to bring some well known names down from rumors. People are getting more risk-adverse and they will want to be safe and avoid anything that has any sign of risk (no matter how small it is). In fact, I am under the opinion that Bear Stearns went down because of rumours spread by short-sellers saying that Bear’s balance sheets  have problems. Because of this rumor, banks and hedge funds exited trades with them and stopped providing funding with them. With no new funding, there was no liquidity and Bear was gone!

Although Hong Kong people are very receptive to this type of rumor, just pray that the Hong Kong people are more logical and the financial system in Hong Kong is robust enough to sustain this type of shock.

Another possible casualty from illiquidity: U-right (627)

U-right, similar to Bossini (592) or Giordano (709), is an apparel retailer, but focusing more to the lower income group of people. Surprisingly the trading of U-right’s shares was halted abruptly at 10:24 am yesterday and the last traded price was $0.014. At the beginning of 2008, the shares were trading at $0.25.

Its share price has dropped more than 90% this year and according to Basis Point, there was a meeting held last week by the creditors who are concerned about the big decline of U-right’s share price.

This is indeed a death spiral. A lot of the small caps have dropped more than 70% this year. Then banks become very concerned about the company and as a result few banks pull out the loans or credit facilities they have with these small companies. Without adequate funding, the share price drops further and more banks become more concerned and ask the small companies to repay. Without enough cash, what can they do? They will fold.

As banks can stop providing supports for reputable names such as Lehman Brothers and AIG, it is not surprising to see that banks can easily pull out funding from a no-name company like U-right. R.I.P.

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Peace Mark (304) in deep trouble?

Peace Mark made an annoucement last night on the latest development in the company. In a short sentence, the company is in deep shit. Banks are asking for repayment of their outstanding loans, and their original white knight, CVC, has pulled out from the deal.

When a company is facing financial problem, whether a company can revive is at the mercy of the banks. Liquidity of the company is just like oxygen for human beings, and banks are the one deciding whether a company in the intensive care unit should keep its oxygen mask or not. But, with banks that are conservative by nature, how many ailing companies can really survive?

If Peace Mark were able to get its new syndicated loan, the company’s cash flow will probably be alright and the company should be able to survive this crisis. Their operation is generating cash and their net gearing is decreasing, albeit slowly. Too bad the company has been too optimistic in getting funding from banks. When a company is good, banks will line up to the company to give out loans; when it encounters some slight problem, banks will pull out as soon as possible to minimize their potential losses.

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